the project / study 1

Ecological analysis of patterns of risk using historical data


In this study, we will combine case records held by Public Health England with data on a variety of social and environmental risk factors.

We will develop and apply spatial statistical methods to analyse these, and other, data-sets in order to investigate the following research hypotheses.

  1. Spatio-temporal variation in the incidence of human Campylobacter cases is determined by interaction between seasonal patterns of livestock husbandry and weather that increases environmental contamination and exposure.
  2. Seasonal variation in the incidence of Campylobacter depends on the seasonal pattern of contaminated chicken consumption, socio-economic status of consumers and colonisation of chicken by Campylobacter.